Thursday, February 12, 2026

"Israeli Soldiers Accused of Using Polymarket to Bet on Strikes"

WSJ:

Israel has arrested several people, including army reservists

...

The arrests followed reports in Israeli media that Shin Bet was investigating a series of Polymarket bets last year related to when Israel would launch an attack on Iran, including which day or month the attack would take place and when Israel would declare the operation over

...

The account in question raked in more than $150,000 in winnings before going dormant for six months. It resumed trading last month, betting on when Israel would strike Iran